Thursday, August 30, 2007

Don't Trust Experts' Forecasts, Experts Suggest

Um....yeah. Sure.
Don't Trust Experts' Forecasts, Study Suggests

Science Daily — A study about predicting the outcome of actual conflicts found that the forecasts of experts who use their unaided judgment are little better than those of novices, according to a new study in a publication of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences.
Thank you, INFORMS, for those words of wisdom.

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2 Comments:

At September 02, 2007 6:46 AM, Anonymous Craig J. Phillips MRC, BA said...

Hello Neurocritic,
I am sorry that I do not know very much about your topic, but I wanted to let you know about myself. My motivation is not narcissistic, but altruistic. Thank you for your time and kindness my friend.

My name is Craig J. Phillips. I am a traumatic brain injury survivor and a master’s level rehabilitation counselor. I sustained an open skull fracture with right frontal lobe damage and remained in a coma for 3 weeks at the age of 10 in August of 1967. I underwent brain and skull surgery after waking from the coma. Follow-up cognitive and psychosocial testing revealed that I would not be able to succeed beyond high school. In 1967 Neurological Rehabilitation was not available to me, so I had to teach myself how to walk, talk, read, write and speak in complete sentences. I completed high school on time and went on to obtain both my undergraduate and graduate degrees. For an in depth view of my process please read my post, http://secondchancetolive.wordpress.com/2007/02/18/my-journey-thus-far/

Through out my lifetime I developed strategies to overcome many obstacles and in so doing I have achieved far beyond all reasonable expectations. On February 6, 2007 at the encouragement of a friend I created Second Chance to Live. Second Chance to Live, which is located at http://secondchancetolive.wordpress.com presents topics in such a way to encourage, motivate and empower the reader to live life on life’s terms. I believe our circumstances are not meant to keep us down, but to build us up. As a traumatic brain injury survivor, I speak from my experience, strength and hope. As a professional, I provide information to encourage, motivate and empower both disabled and non-disabled individuals to not give up on their process.

Please encourage your readers to visit Second Chance to Live at http://secondchancetolive.wordpress.com

Thank you for your time and kindness.

Have a simply phenomenal day!

Craig J. Phillips MRC, BA
Second Chance to Live

Our circumstances are not meant to keep us down, but to build us up!

 
At April 15, 2008 9:28 AM, Blogger Booker said...

Hello, I am also a TBI survivor who has since gotten my BS and MS (in Rehabilitation Counseling, no less).

Feel free to contact me @ tj_booker@hotmail.com

 

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